Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 15.148601 17.161373 19.289481 21.701847 24.355055 27.178717 30.405472
2025-01-26 12.785598 15.664867 18.899730 22.781963 27.292034 32.343444 38.405093
2025-02-02 11.559298 15.171115 19.448078 24.834563 31.381553 39.023461 48.555732
2025-02-09 10.183273 14.260708 19.331164 26.003787 34.448088 44.667863 57.848496
2025-02-16 8.686899 12.961498 18.534248 26.179218 36.223759 48.788981 65.489263
2025-02-23 7.273086 11.554353 17.399357 25.743763 37.101437 51.751850 71.766817
2025-03-02 6.180376 10.427280 16.484497 25.458509 38.074593 54.805091 78.229703
2025-03-09 5.394898 9.630008 15.920033 25.559015 39.508902 58.467552 85.589003
2025-03-16 4.647263 8.780397 15.171622 25.295309 40.363472 61.327488 91.934316
2025-03-23 4.339390 8.591613 15.386791 26.440490 43.263312 67.103446 102.465487
2025-03-30 3.888743 8.098133 15.065266 26.720911 44.876288 71.098632 110.631276
2025-04-06 3.296148 7.269585 14.110945 25.917277 44.780534 72.592607 115.260951
2025-04-13 2.742398 6.441424 13.088548 24.946086 44.404699 73.717251 119.506698
2025-04-20 2.582932 6.348748 13.325379 26.064060 47.361053 79.921125 131.415503
2025-04-27 2.592664 6.597177 14.188986 28.294743 52.205089 89.161712 148.141353
2025-05-04 2.464687 6.540864 14.486063 29.558788 55.529370 96.189366 161.771911
2025-05-11 2.213852 6.182498 14.180237 29.732025 57.048441 100.462190 171.355558
2025-05-18 1.919165 5.676515 13.534815 29.236175 57.398875 102.889055 178.163388
2025-05-25 1.679820 5.256552 13.010952 28.912208 58.004047 105.715384 185.646368
2025-06-01 1.509607 4.974103 12.733673 29.019253 59.341630 109.740858 195.091857
2025-06-08 1.325344 4.621438 12.269088 28.724085 59.938029 112.556157 202.680054
2025-06-15 1.280361 4.633126 12.592139 29.992343 63.392692 120.200915 218.197895
2025-06-22 1.168983 4.441181 12.443564 30.302152 65.106660 124.979783 229.203022